Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.640292 0.752552 0.874286 1.015559 1.174438 1.347034 1.548134
2025-10-12 0.456928 0.610799 0.794413 1.026965 1.310747 1.642819 2.057581
2025-10-19 0.331099 0.499884 0.719857 1.020773 1.414260 1.903502 2.549059
2025-10-26 0.240306 0.408192 0.645964 0.994768 1.479319 2.113608 2.989400
2025-11-02 0.185267 0.351067 0.604233 0.998978 1.576155 2.364444 3.493435
2025-11-09 0.137377 0.291592 0.545697 0.966273 1.611919 2.529207 3.887546
2025-11-16 0.108935 0.256619 0.517143 0.971287 1.697817 2.764359 4.387320
2025-11-23 0.085417 0.223833 0.485205 0.964300 1.761278 2.967394 4.849155
2025-11-30 0.073041 0.209666 0.482771 1.004295 1.899341 3.286670 5.493542
2025-12-07 0.061019 0.192673 0.471625 1.026561 2.008555 3.566327 6.090797
2025-12-14 0.047054 0.166499 0.437356 1.001830 2.035389 3.717247 6.498438
2025-12-21 0.039620 0.154314 0.429326 1.024234 2.143212 4.000481 7.119883
2025-12-28 0.032941 0.142241 0.420124 1.044707 2.251855 4.295478 7.781134
2026-01-04 0.027124 0.130512 0.409599 1.061375 2.355226 4.588182 8.453780
2026-01-11 0.021375 0.116345 0.390291 1.057111 2.419024 4.817464 9.034343
2026-01-18 0.015993 0.100433 0.362849 1.031231 2.438743 4.971320 9.497225
2026-01-25 0.012744 0.090941 0.350109 1.035926 2.517237 5.229919 10.142306
2026-02-01 0.009196 0.077451 0.322637 1.002407 2.515981 5.346175 10.551790
2026-02-08 0.007271 0.070357 0.312172 1.007631 2.593002 5.605156 11.211350
2026-02-15 0.005526 0.062618 0.297595 1.000463 2.643022 5.816360 11.795508
2026-02-22 0.004806 0.060689 0.301794 1.041655 2.798467 6.228813 12.742665
2026-03-01 0.003961 0.057048 0.299189 1.064580 2.915609 6.574002 13.582456
2026-03-08 0.002802 0.049341 0.279623 1.039124 2.924104 6.713447 14.062564